Thursday 08/13/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Thursday 08/13/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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FYI, let's limit the comps to the first 2 pages, I need this thread to be used for chatter and what games members would like to pick up or split. Service thread getting way to much chatter. Ty.

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Can someone please get Line Crusher's 3 NFl exhibition plays for Thursday? 2 are best bets.

Thanks
 
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MLB LONG SHEET


Thursday, August 13

SAN DIEGO (48 - 66) at MILWAUKEE (55 - 57) - 2:05 PM
CESAR CARRILLO (R) vs. MANNY PARRA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 111-164 (-48.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 46-89 (-31.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 111-164 (-48.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 60-80 (-22.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 13-23 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 22-34 (-16.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 245-284 (-65.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-1 (+2.3 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

CESAR CARRILLO vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.

MANNY PARRA vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
PARRA is 0-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (62 - 48) at CHICAGO CUBS (58 - 53) - 2:20 PM
CLIFF LEE (L) vs. RYAN DEMPSTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LEE is 8-14 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 65-38 (+28.0 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 65-38 (+28.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 33-16 (+21.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 165-121 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 33-19 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 30-16 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-12 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-12 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 68-48 (+16.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LEE is 20-6 (+16.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 1015-1062 (-190.9 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 546-490 (-104.7 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 154-197 (-60.7 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 958-978 (-168.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 25-29 (-7.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 20-26 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 (+2.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)

CLIFF LEE vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
LEE is 1-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.227.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

RYAN DEMPSTER vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
DEMPSTER is 3-3 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.05 and a WHIP of 1.634.
His team's record is 6-7 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-1. (+11.0 units)

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PITTSBURGH (46 - 66) at COLORADO (62 - 51) - 3:10 PM
PAUL MAHOLM (L) vs. JASON MARQUIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 38-86 (-34.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 32-81 (-32.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 13-46 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 62-51 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 62-51 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MARQUIS is 18-6 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 49-60 (-20.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUIS is 15-25 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 59-65 (-32.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 27-40 (-30.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 4-3 (-0.3 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

PAUL MAHOLM vs. COLORADO since 1997
MAHOLM is 1-3 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 1-4 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-5. (-5.2 units)

JASON MARQUIS vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
MARQUIS is 9-6 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.93 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 11-9 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-6. (+3.2 units)

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HOUSTON (55 - 58) at FLORIDA (60 - 53) - 7:10 PM
MIKE HAMPTON (L) vs. SEAN WEST (L)
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 60-53 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 57-50 (+6.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
FLORIDA is 100-96 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 24-15 (+11.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 141-133 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 25-15 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 137-131 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 99-95 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 66-71 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 27-26 (+10.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against HOUSTON this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

MIKE HAMPTON vs. FLORIDA since 1997
HAMPTON is 9-7 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 4.65 and a WHIP of 1.522.
His team's record is 11-11 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-8. (+2.9 units)

SEAN WEST vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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WASHINGTON (40 - 73) at CINCINNATI (49 - 63) - 7:10 PM
COLLIN BALESTER (R) vs. BRONSON ARROYO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 40-73 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 12-31 (-15.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 14-40 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
WASHINGTON is 40-70 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 26-54 (-23.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 31-55 (-17.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 114-111 (+35.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 8-2 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in August games this season.
WASHINGTON is 89-91 (+20.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 47-42 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 61-62 (-37.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 251-270 (-61.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 80-107 (-26.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 53-65 (-18.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

COLLIN BALESTER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
BALESTER is 1-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.364.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

BRONSON ARROYO vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
ARROYO is 2-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.56 and a WHIP of 1.402.
His team's record is 4-1 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+1.7 units)

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TEXAS (62 - 49) at CLEVELAND (49 - 63) - 12:05 PM
SCOTT FELDMAN (R) vs. JEREMY SOWERS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 12-30 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 24-13 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 10-4 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday this season.
TEXAS is 62-49 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 64-70 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 61-47 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
FELDMAN is 14-6 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
FELDMAN is 8-1 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
FELDMAN is 14-6 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 49-63 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 25-30 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 70-85 (-32.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 36-52 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 44-56 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 32-49 (-19.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 11-20 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 3-1 (+2.1 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

SCOTT FELDMAN vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
FELDMAN is 0-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 7.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JEREMY SOWERS vs. TEXAS since 1997
SOWERS is 0-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 17.17 and a WHIP of 2.452.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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KANSAS CITY (44 - 68) at MINNESOTA (54 - 58) - 1:10 PM
GIL MECHE (R) vs. CARL PAVANO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 44-68 (-22.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 39-66 (-21.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 68-104 (-29.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 18-29 (-11.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MECHE is 14-28 (-16.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MECHE is 6-19 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 84-52 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 22-8 (+13.5 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 65-47 (+11.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 87-56 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 87-59 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
PAVANO is 110-89 (+23.8 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
PAVANO is 12-5 (+9.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 26-26 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 54-58 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 4-3 (+2.8 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.5 Units)

GIL MECHE vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
MECHE is 8-6 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.53 and a WHIP of 1.390.
His team's record is 10-8 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-7. (+3.1 units)

CARL PAVANO vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
PAVANO is 1-3 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 8.59 and a WHIP of 1.636.
His team's record is 1-3 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.4 units)

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DETROIT (59 - 53) at BOSTON (64 - 48) - 1:35 PM
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 133-141 (-30.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 23-35 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
DETROIT is 17-22 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 126-122 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 87-105 (-34.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 16-35 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 16-32 (-18.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 95-45 (+23.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 11-2 (+9.3 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season.
BOSTON is 152-91 (+29.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 35-43 (-17.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 5-15 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 4-12 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-0 (+5.2 Units) against DETROIT this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. BOSTON since 1997
VERLANDER is 1-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.49 and a WHIP of 1.474.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 0-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 11.25 and a WHIP of 2.750.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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NY YANKEES (70 - 43) at SEATTLE (59 - 54) - 10:10 PM
C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. IAN SNELL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 133-88 (-51.1 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -175 or more since 1997.
SEATTLE is 59-54 (+6.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 29-21 (+7.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SEATTLE is 12-7 (+14.9 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +175 to +200 since 1997.
SEATTLE is 56-50 (+7.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 78-109 (-30.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SNELL is 3-13 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-2 (+0.6 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
SABATHIA is 5-4 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.39 and a WHIP of 1.376.
His team's record is 7-6 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-7. (-1.8 units)

IAN SNELL vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.
 
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CFL LONG SHEET


Week 7

Thursday, August 13

CALGARY (3 - 3) at EDMONTON (3 - 3) - 8/13/2009, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-2 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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Trend Report

Thursday, August 13

9:00 PM
CALGARY vs. EDMONTON
Calgary is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Edmonton's last 13 games at home
 
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CFL DUNKEL


Calgary at Edmonton
The Stampeders look to build on their 5-2 ATS record in their last 7 games in Edmonton. Calgary is the pick (+1) according to Dunkel, which has the Stampeders favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+1). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

THURSDAY, AUGUST 13

Game 401-402: Calgary at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 116.134; Edmonton 109.161
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 7; 62
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 1; 59
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+1); Over
 
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Thursday, August 13

Thursday's NFL preseason betting previews

Washington Redskins at Baltimore Ravens (-3, 31.5)

Who's in, who's out

Prized free agent defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth will not make his Redskins debut in the preseason opener. Star running back Clinton Portis will also be held out against the Ravens.

While Jason Campbell is locked in as the starting QB, head coach Jim Zorn is evaluating his options for the backup spot. Veteran Todd Collins, second-year signal-caller Colt Brennan and rookie Chase Daniel will get most of the snaps Thursday.

For the Ravens, standout linebacker Terrell Suggs and No. 2 wide receiver Mark Clayton will miss the game due to injuries. Top receiver Derek Mason and No.3 wideout Demeterius Williams are also banged up but could play.

Baltimore also has some open competition for its backup quarterback spot behind starter Joe Flacco. Troy Smith will try to hold off former Dolphins quarterback John Beck for the No. 2 role.

In a battle to replace longtime kicker Matt Stover, Steven Hauschka will handle the kicking duties in the first half against the Redskins while Florida State rookie Graham Gano will take over as the kicker in the second half.

Line movement

The Ravens opened as 3-point favorites with the total set around 31. These numbers have basically held up although there are a few books that have moved the total up to 31.5.

Trends

Zorn went 3-2 (2-3 ATS) in the preseason a year ago while covering in his debut contest at the Hall of Fame Game against the Colts. John Harbaugh won and covered in his first preseason contest in 2008 before his squad dropped their final three exhibition contests.

Weather

The forecast calls for a high of 82 degrees with a 30 percent chance of rain in Baltimore.


New England Patriots at Philadelphia Eagles (-3, 33)

Who's in, who's out

There will be plenty of eyes on this contest with the expected return of Tom Brady. In a gathering with reporters on Tuesday, Brady provided a hint that the Patriots won't be going through the motions Thursday.

"It’s been a different training camp this year,’’ said Brady. "I don’t know what he’s (head coach Bill Belichick) got in store. From his tone and the message he’s been sending to the team, it doesn’t sound like it’s going to be a (standard) first preseason game for us. I don’t think it’s like a guest appearance or anything like that. I think we’re going out there to play.’’

Reserve quarterbacks Kevin O'Connell, Andrew Walter, and Brain Hoyer will be closely evaluated in the preseason with the departure of Matt Cassel. Belichick is taking over the offensive play calling duties this year after the loss of offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels.

The Eagles have been hard hit by injuries heading into their preseason debut. Last week, starting linebacker Stewart Bradley was lost for the year with an ACL knee injury. Other recent camp casualties have included QB Kevin Kolb, DE Trent Cole and starting OG Todd Herreamns. All three will miss Thursday's game but should be ready to go by the start of the regular season.

Head coach Andy Reid has indicated that his starters will play until about midway through the second quarter. With Kolb out, A. J. Feely will see most of the action at reserve quarterback although just re-signed rookie Adam DiMichele could play in the fourth quarter. Standout runner Brian Westbrook is unlikely to play much in the preseason after some offseason surgeries.

Line movement

The Eagles opened as 2.5-point favorites with the total set at 35. Philadelphia has moved up to a field goal favorite with the total down to 33.

Trends

Belichick is 20-17 (19-15-3 ATS) in the preseason with the Patriots. He went 5-0-2 ATS in his first seven preseason openers but has dropped the last two. The last time New England entered a preseason after missing the playoffs was in 2003. In that year, the Pats went a perfect 4-0 (4-0 ATS) and went on to capture the Super Bowl title. Reid is 14-26 (19-21 ATS) in his preseason career in Philadelphia. The Eagles are 0-5 (0-5 ATS) in their last five preseason openers.

Weather

The forecast calls for a high of 79 degrees in with a 30 percent chance of showers in Philadelphia.


Arizona Cardinals at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3, 33.5)

Who's in, who's out

The Cardinals are fairly healthy heading into their preseason opener and Super Bowl rematch. The only notable player who could miss Thursday's contest is first-round draft choice Beanie Wells (ankle sprain).

Like Belichick, Arizona head coach Ken Whisenhunt is taking over his club's play calling duties after losing his coordinator (Todd Haley) to a head coaching job.

Despite a renewed offseason that included some intense MMA physical training, former top draft pick Matt Leinart is in a real battle to hold off Brian St. Pierre for the backup QB spot behind starter Kurt Warner. Former Pitt Panthers signal-caller Tyler Palko is also trying to land a place on the roster for the Cardinals.

Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin has indicated that his starters will only play "a couple of series" against the Cardinals. Pittsburgh has also been able to avoid getting too banged up so far.

After Ben Roethlisberger makes his cameo appearance against Arizona, veteran Charlie Batch will vie for quarterback snaps along with youngsters Dennis Dixon and Mike Reilly.

Line Movement

The Steelers opened as 3-point favorites with the total set around 34. The total has made a slight drop down to 33.5.

Trends

Whisenhunt is 2-6 (3-5 ATS) in his preseason career and has failed to cover in his prior two preseason openers. Tomlin is 7-2 (4-5 ATS) in the preseason with the Steelers with a pair of covers in his preseason openers.

Weather

The forecast calls for a high of 82 degrees with a 20 percent chance of rain in Pittsburgh.


Dallas Cowboys at Oakland Raiders (-2, 34.5)

Who's in, who's out

Dallas is thin in its defensive secondary heading into their preseason debut. Cornerbacks Terence Newman, Mike Jenkins and Michael Hawkins will not play against the Raiders.

With the addition of veteran Jon Kitna to serve as the backup quarterback to starter Tony Romo, the matchup against the Raiders will enable the Cowboys to get a good look at rookie-signal callers Rudy Carpenter and Stephen McGee.

Tom Cable is set to make his preseason debut after serving as the Raiders interim head coach to conclude the 2008 campaign.

Top draft pick Darrius Heyward-Bey could be on the sidelines Thursday. The wide receiver is battling a toe injury. A calf strain could keep backup QB Jeff Garcia out of the contest as well.

Cable has stated that Charlie Frye and Bruce Gradkowski will see significant action against the Cowboys in their battle for the No.3 quarterback position.

Line Movement

Dallas opened in the rare position as a 1.5-point preseason road favorite with a total of 34.5. While the total has held, the Cowboys are now the underdog.

Trends

Phillips is 4-4 (3-5 ATS) in the preseason with the Cowboys. Dallas hasn't won a road preseason game since 2006.

Weather

The forecast calls for a high of 80 degrees with winds at 10 to 20 mph in Oakland.
 

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axiumsports

August 13th 2009

*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*

Current Bankroll=$1,939.22

Pick #10- Sweden-Superettan Soccer
10)Bet 25.02 to win 23.82 on Vasby United/FC Trollhattan OVER 2.5 -105

Pick #11-MLB
11a)Bet 25.32 to win 24.45 on Washington/Cincinnati OVER 9.5 -108

11b)Bet 52.54 to win 48.65 on Washington/Cincinnati OVER 9.5 -108

Pick #12-MLB-
12aa)Bet 25.64 to win 24.19 on NY Yankees/Seattle OVER 8.5 -106
12ab)Bet 53.17 to win 50.16 on NY Yankees/Seattle OVER 8.5 -106

12ba)Bet 25.32 to win 23.89 on NY Yankees/Seattle OVER 8.5 -106
12bb)Bet 110.33 to win 104.89 on NY Yankees/Seattle OVER 8.5 -106
 
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Wunderdog

NFL | Aug 13
New England Patriots vs. Philadelphia Eagles New England Patriots
+3-120 at BODOG > 13h.
This exhibition game offers substantial history to follow as it relates to coaching philosophies. This year marks the 10th for Andy Reid as head coach of the Eagles and the ninth for Belichick leading the Pats. Coach Reid has never been about winning in the exhibition season, but rather about testing and evaluating new personnel. That is evidenced by the fact that Philadelphia has not had a winning record during the preseason for each of the last six seasons. His teams are 15-25 during the NFL-X under his tenure. His record gets even worse in week one, where Reid's Eagles are just 3-8. It is tough to lay points with a team that has a long history of winning very little under their current coach - especially in week one. Coach Belichick actually has a winning record since taking over at New England with a 20-17 mark. In week one preseason action, his Patriots teams are 6-4. In addition, normally Tom Brady could care less about playing in the preseason. But, this is not a normal year for him. Coming off a year of inaction, he's chomping at the bit and will play in this game. He wants to show everyone, including himself, that he's back. Coming off an 0-4 preseason last year, I look for the Pats to try to have added incentive win this year. I have an NFL-X system that backs teams that had a bad preseason last year that applies in this game. The system is 15-4 ATS including 5-1 the past three seasons. I'll take New England with the points in this one.
 
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Vernon Croy

MLB | Aug 13
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox Detroit Tigers
-120 at BOOKM > 7h.
Take the Detroit Tigers on the Moneyline, We are getting great value here with the Tigers who have Justin Verlander (12-6, 3.45 ERA) on the mound since he is the superior pitcher in this match-up. The Tigers are 13-5 when Verlander has started as a favorite this season and the Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite. The Tigers are 16-6 in Verlander's last 22 starts against an AL East division opponent and I look for Verlander to have a solid start Thursday afternoon. The Red Sox are just 5-16 in Clay Buchholz's (1-2, 5.33 ERA) last 21 starts and they are also just 0-6 in Buchholz's last 6 starts against a team with a winning record. The Tigers were hitting .309 as a team over their last 7 games before last night's game while the Red Sox were hitting just .212 as a team over their last 7 games. Take the Detroit Tigers as my MLB Bonus Play for Thursday afternoon.
 
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Craig Trapp

MLB | Aug 13
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
+101 at BOOKM > 7h.

BOS (+106): Detroit is trying to avoid being swept as they have lost two in a row in Fenway. In fact DET is just not very good on the road this season going only 23-26. Verlander tries to save the day for DET but he has struggled recently also giving up 13 runs in 3 games. On the other side BOS is in a must win as they can't afford to lose games on the 1st place Yankees. They turn to young ace Bucholtz who was really good in his last start against the Yankees going 6 innings and only allowing 2 runs. Love the matchup of a strikeout pitcher against a team that is prone to a ton of strikeouts. Great value today take a very good BOS team that plays great at home. SCORE BOS 5 - DET 2
 
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Robbie Gainous

MLB | Aug 13
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs Philadelphia Phillies
-140 at SPBOOK > 8h.
The Phillies will be seeking the series sweep of the Cubs on Thursday afternoon at Wrigley Field after taking Game Two on Wednesday by a final score of 12 to 5 and the opener on Tuesday 4 to 3. The Phillies will send recently acquired left-hander Cliff Lee to the bump with his 3-0 record his last three starts and an ERA of 1.57. Philly is 33-19 (+15.5) on the road, 15-5 (+8.9) on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 and 22-12 (+12.2) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Chicago will hang their hopes of salvaging one game in this series on Ryan Dempster who is 6-5 on the year with an ERA of 4.04 including 4-1 at home with an ERA of 4.62. The Cubs are 7-17 (-10.9) when playing against a team with a win percentage of 54 to 62 percent, 9-20 (-12.9) versus a starting pitcher who strikes out 5 or more batters per start and 4-21 (-16.4) as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. The Phillies are active in a MLB system that tells us to Play ON any MLB team with a starting pitcher who gives up seven or more hits per start with a WHIP of 1.000 or less over his last five starts for a record of 14-4 the last three seasons and a profit of +10.1 units. The five year mark for this system is 39-14 (73.6%) for +24.6 units of profit. Lay the chalk with Philly as they complete the sweep of the Chicago Cubs on Thursday afternoon at Wrigley Field.

Graded Selection: 2* Philadelphia Phillies 2 Chicago Cubs 0
 
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Jim Feist

MLB | Aug 13
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
+100 at SPBOOK > 7h.
Detroit still hasn't bounced out of its offensive season-long slump. Even coming to Fenway hasn't help much, getting beat the first two games of the series. Detroit is great at home, but terrible on the road. The Red Sox offense is clicking now that they are home, and their super-tough bullpen depth makes it difficult on visitors to steal wins. Justin Verlander is 1-2 with a 5.49 ERA in his career against Boston, and he has a 5.57 ERA his last three starts. Red Sox righty Clay Buchholz hasn't seen the Tigers this season and has a terrific bullpen to help him out, if needed. Play the Red Sox.
 
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Dave Cokin

(255) ARIZONA CARDINALS
(256) PITTSBURGH STEELERS
Take "(255) ARIZONA CARDINALS"

The Cardinals and Steelers staged a great battle in last season's Super Bowl. I'll take a shot and say tonight's game won't be quite as exciting. The pre-season trends actually give the edge to the Steelers, as Mike Tomlin seems to like winning even when it doesn't matter. But even in a meaningless exhibition game, I have to think the Cardinals would like to wash some of the taste of that demoralizing Super Bowl defeat out of their systems, so I'll lean Arizona's way tonight.
 
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Jim Feist

(909) WASHINGTON NATIONALS
(910) CINCINNATI REDS
Take "Under"

You need to throw strikes to survive in hitter friendly parks like this. Fortunately, both starters here know the value of getting ahead in the count and not walking anyone. The Reds haven't seen Washington starter Collin Balester this season, and the kid has walked just 4 in 19 innings. Cincy righty Bronson Arroyo has 10 wins and is in a nice groove, with a 3.98 ERA his last three starts. Don't look for an offensive show, play the Nationals/Reds Under the total.
 
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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox (+106, 9)

Sometimes a good bench-clearing brawl is all you need to vent frustrations.

Tuesday night, Boston first baseman Kevin Youkilis charged the mound after getting beaned by Tigers pitcher Rick Porcello in the second inning and was whipped to the ground by the lanky right-hander.

Despite Youkilis futile fury, the brawl sparked the Red Sox offense and gave the team its second win in a row after losing six straight heading into the week. Boston has combined for 13 runs in those victories after scoring just eight runs in their four-game sweep at the hands of the New York Yankees last weekend.

The BoSox might not need a brawl to fire up the bats Thursday. Boston faces struggling Detroit ace Justin Verlander, who has allowed 10 runs over 14 innings in his past two starts. He’s struck out 14 batters in that span but has also given up 16 hits including two home runs.

The talented righty blames poor execution for his rough start to August. He had better find his familiar form quickly - the Red Sox have lit the Tigers’ starter up in his most recent outing versus Beantown. Boston totaled five earned runs on nine hits including a home run against Verlander back in May 2008.

Pick: Boston +106


San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers (-168, 9.5)

The axe is falling all around the Milwaukee Brewers during the team’s lousy second half of the season. The Brew Crew are 10-14 since the break, falling to 55-57 on the season, and have now bid goodbye to three members of the team.

Milwaukee discarded veteran pitching coach Bill Castro, long-time Brewer Bill Hall and sent former All-Star J.J. Hardy to the minors after the shortstop posted a .229 BA with 11 home runs and 45 RBI this year. The club brought up top prospect Alcides Escobar to replace Hardy.

Drastic moves like these are a surefire sign that the Brewers are packing it in for next season. They’ve lost three of their last four games heading into Wednesday and lug a team ERA of 5.73 this month.

The Padres, on the other hand, are making a push in the National League West. San Diego has won four of five games heading into Wednesday and hasn’t given up on 2009 despite being last in the division and 14.5 games out of the Wild Card spot.

Pick: San Diego +160
 
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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Jeremy Sowers, Cleveland Indians (4-7, 4.75 ERA)

Maybe a little trip to the minors was all Sowers needed. The lefty is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA in three starts since his return from Columbus on July 25 and he is quietly one of the hottest pitchers in the majors right now.

Sowers has given up only 14 hits since his return to the bigs and nobody has taken him over the wall in 20 innings in those starts. The 26-year-old lefty isn’t doing it with big whiffs or heavy heat, either. Instead, he’s getting batters to ground out in most at-bats, which shows Sowers might have learned a thing or two while riding the bus in the Midwest.

Look for value with Sowers for the rest of the month.

Cliff Lee, Philadelphia Phillies, (2-0,1.12 ERA)

Looks like Lee likes his new surroundings. He has started with a perfect record since being moved to the Phillies and he’s only given up two runs and 10 hits in 16 innings with his new club.

It’s nothing new for Lee - except for the winning part. Despite some fantastic pitching all season, he went just 7-9 with the lowly Indians and watched as one quality start after another was squandered away.

Right now, he’s pitching off the charts. He’s won five games in a row and three of those were complete game efforts (He went seven innings in the other two). He gave up just one run in four of those outings and two runs in the other.


Slumping

Cesar Carrillo, San Diego Padres, (0-0, 0.00 ERA)

Make it 13 starting pitchers for the Padres when Carrillo makes his major league debut Thursday in Milwaukee. The first-round pick from 2005 has had a rough road to get to this point after Tommy John surgery forced him to miss the 2007 season.

The prospect started the year in Double-A in San Antonio and was only recently promoted to Triple-A where he went 0-2 with a 6.19 ERA. So chances are, he’ll need some run support if he hopes to make his debut a winning one. Hopefully for him, the Padres club that shows up will be the one that scored 13 runs Monday night instead of the one that’s hitting .239 BA this season.
 
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Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets

Seattle Storm at Connecticut Sun (-4, 143.5)

The last time the Storm managed to beat the Sun, Mariah Carey’s Emancipation of Mimi ruled the charts, Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire was the top hit at the box office and President George W. Bush was beginning his second term in office.

Yeah, 2005 is a long time ago.

Since then, the Sun have taken the past six meetings between the squads as they are emerging as a top team in the Eastern Conference. Connecticut, which also is 5-1 ATS versus Seattle during the streak, has won two of its past three and seven of 11 at home this season.

The Storm, however, have lost three of five and each of their past two on the road. In fact, Seattle’s most recent wins have come by a combined four points.

Pick: Sun -4


San Antonio Silver Stars at Phoenix Mercury (-6.5, 177.5)

Fans of defense, methodical possessions and low-scoring games should avoid this matchup.

The Silver Stars have nearly been an automatic over play the past two months. Seven of their past eight games have surpassed the total as the team tries to compensate for its mediocre defense (76.7 ppg) by unleashing dynamic scorers Becky Hammon (20.7 ppg) and Sophia Young (17.2 ppg).

The Mercury have also been one of the best over plays in the league this season, posting an over/under mark of 16-7 overall and a staggering 9-3 record at home. The team has struggled to find a consistent rhythm since suspended star Diane Taurasi returned to the lineup from her suspension, but still sees plenty of points with the league’s best offense (92 ppg) and worst defense (88.7 ppg)

Each of the team’s previous two meetings also topped the number this season.

Pick: Over 177.5
 

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